{"id":566,"date":"2025-02-13T19:07:35","date_gmt":"2025-02-13T11:07:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/?p=566"},"modified":"2025-11-19T18:19:26","modified_gmt":"2025-11-19T10:19:26","slug":"%e4%b8%8b%e6%a3%8b-%e6%8e%92%e4%bd%8d%e8%b5%9bglicko-2%e7%a7%af%e5%88%86%e7%ae%97%e6%b3%95","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/?p=566","title":{"rendered":"\u4e0b\u68cb-\u6392\u4f4d\u8d5bGlicko-2\u79ef\u5206\u7b97\u6cd5"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-wp-embed\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"K7bDqkw7nk\"><a href=\"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/?p=564\">\u4e0b\u68cb-\u68cb\u8005\u8c61\u68cb\u68cb\u89c4<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; visibility: hidden;\" title=\"\u300a \u4e0b\u68cb-\u68cb\u8005\u8c61\u68cb\u68cb\u89c4 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height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u8bc4\u5206\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u8bf4\u660e<\/h1>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00a0Glicko-2-\u8bc4\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\u8bbe\u5b9a<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u68cb\u8005\u8c61\u68cb\u6392\u4f4d\u8d5b\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u662fGlicko-2\u8ba1\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5b83\u662f\u8c61\u68cb\u804c\u4e1a\u7b49\u7ea7\u5206\u7cfb\u7edfELO\u7b97\u6cd5\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4f18\u5316\u65b9\u6848\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u662f\u7535\u8111\u666e\u53ca\u540e\u624d\u80fd\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u65e0\u6cd5\u4eba\u5de5\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b83\u80fd\u89e3\u51b3\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol 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<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>http:\/\/www.glicko.net\/research\/gdescrip.pdf\uff08\u8bba\u6587\u4f5c\u8005\uff09<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"367\" src=\"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-1-800x367.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-568\" srcset=\"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-1-800x367.png 800w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-1-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-1-768x353.png 768w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-1-1536x705.png 1536w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-1-2048x941.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u200b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h1 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u51e0\u79cd\u79ef\u5206\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u6bd4\u8f83<\/strong><\/h1>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8bb2\u5230\u8bc4\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c\u8fd9\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u7528\u4e00\u4e2a\u6570\u5b57\u901a\u8fc7\u5408\u7406\u7684\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u4e3a\u4e00\u7fa4\u7528\u6237\u7684\u68cb\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u8fdb\u884c\u91cf\u5316\u3002\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\u6ca1\u6709\u597d\u574f\uff0c<strong>\u7528\u6237\u80fd\u7406\u89e3\uff0c\u591f\u7528\uff0c\u5408\u7406\u5c31\u884c<\/strong>\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u8c61\u68cb\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6bd4\u8f83\u4e3b\u6d41\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\u5927\u6982\u5206\u4e3a2\u79cd\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u5929\u5929\u8c61\u68cb\u2014\u2014\u68cb\u529b\u8bc4\u6d4b\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\uff08\u4e1a\u51e0&#8230;\uff09\uff0c<strong>\u8f93\u8d62+-\u56fa\u5b9a\u5206\u6570<\/strong>\uff1b<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u4e2a\u662f\u804c\u4e1a\u5927\u5e08\u7b49\u7ea7\u5206\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684<strong>ELO\u7b97\u6cd5<\/strong>\uff1b\u5982\uff1a\u738b\u5929\u4e00\uff082751\uff09\uff0c2022.11.17<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u68cb\u8005\u8c61\u68cb\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u662fELO\u7b97\u6cd5\u7684\u5347\u7ea7\u7248\u672cGlicko-2\uff0c\u4e4b\u6240\u4ee5\u91c7\u7528\u8fd9\u4e2aGlicko-2\u7b97\u6cd5\uff0c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u6bd4ELO\u7b97\u6cd5\u66f4\u4e3a\u79d1\u5b66\uff0c\u4e25\u8c28\u3002\u4e3a\u5565\u5b98\u65b9\u534f\u4f1a\u4e0d\u91c7\u7528\u5462\uff1f\u7b80\u5355\u6765\u8bb2\uff0c\u5929\u5929\u8c61\u68cb\u7684\u52a0\u51cf\u6cd5\u5c0f\u5b66\u751f\u80fd\u7b97\uff0cELO\u7edf\u8ba1\u7b97\u6cd5\u4eba\u5de5\u80fd\u7b97\uff0cGlicko-2\u5c31\u5fc5\u987b\u53ea\u80fd\u7535\u8111\u7b97\u4e86\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u68cb\u7c7b\u534f\u4f1a\u63a8\u51faELO\u804c\u4e1a\u7b49\u7ea7\u5206\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u7535\u8111\u8fd8\u4e0d\u591f\u666e\u53ca\uff0cGlicko-2\u90a3\u65f6\u53ea\u505c\u7559\u8bba\u6587\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 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class=\"wp-block-heading\">ELO\u7b97\u6cd5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7531\u7f8e\u56fd\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u3001FIDE\u548c\u8bb8\u591a\u5176\u4ed6\u5728\u7ebf\u56fd\u9645\u8c61\u68cb\u7f51\u7ad9\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5f88\u53d7\u6b22\u8fce\u6709\u4e24\u4e2a\u539f\u56e0\u2014\u2014\u5b83\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u5f88\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u4e86\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5f88\u7b80\u5355\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5b83\u89e3\u51b3\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\uff1a<strong>\u4e0d\u540c\u68cb\u529b\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4eba\u5bf9\u5f08\u5206\u6570\u5982\u4f55\u7ed3\u7b97\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7ed9\u5b9a\u4e24\u4e2a\u4e0d\u540c\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u68cb\u624b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5e94\u8be5\u80fd\u591f\u8ba1\u7b97\u51fa\u66f4\u597d\u7684\u68cb\u624b\u8d62\u5f97\u6bd4\u8d5b\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u738b\u5929\u4e00\u6709100%\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u51fb\u8d25\u62115\u5c81\u7684\u5973\u513f\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u53ea\u670960%\u7684\u51e0\u7387\u51fb\u8d25\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u5927\u5e08\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5f53\u4e0e\u53e6\u4e00\u4f4d\u5927\u5e08\u6bd4\u8d5b\u65f6\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u572810\u573a\u6bd4\u8d5b\u4e2d\u8d62\u4e866\u573a\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\u5c06\u4fdd\u6301\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4ed6\u8d62\u4e867\u573a\u6216\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u8bc4\u5206\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c5\u573a\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u8bc4\u5206\u5c31\u4f1a\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7b80\u5355\u6765\u8bb2\uff0cA 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class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Glicko-2\u7cfb\u7edf<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Glicko\u7cfb\u7edf\uff0c<\/strong>\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u66f4\u73b0\u4ee3\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e00\u4e9b\u6982\u5ff5\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u4f46\u4f7f\u7528\u4e86\u66f4\u590d\u6742\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u3002\u5b83\u5fc5\u987b\u7535\u8111\u6765\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5728ELO\u53ef\u4ee5\u4eba\u5de5\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u5728\u7535\u8111\u8fd8\u672a\u666e\u53ca\u65f6\uff0cGlicko-2\u53ea\u80fd\u8eba\u5728\u8bba\u6587\u91cc\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Glicko-2\uff0c\u662fELO\u884d\u751f\u800c\u6765\u7684\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4ELO\uff0c\u5728\u89e3\u51b32\u4e2a\u5206\u6570\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u4eba\u5bf9\u5c40\u5206\u6570\u8ba1\u7b97\u95ee\u9898\uff0c<strong>\u5b83\u8fd8\u89e3\u51b3\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u5904\u4e8e\u67d0\u4e2a\u5206\u6570\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5206\u6570\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u5982\u4f55\uff1f\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4eba\u5728\u67d0\u4e2a\u5206\u6570\u662f\u5426\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u540c\u6837\u5206\u6570\u5f71\u54cd\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol 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class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"800\" height=\"367\" src=\"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-2-800x367.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-569\" srcset=\"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-2-800x367.png 800w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-2-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-2-768x353.png 768w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-2-1536x705.png 1536w, https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/image-2-2048x941.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" 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&raquo;<span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u4e0b\u68cb-\u6392\u4f4d\u8d5bGlicko-2\u79ef\u5206\u7b97\u6cd5<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"neve_meta_sidebar":"","neve_meta_container":"","neve_meta_enable_content_width":"","neve_meta_content_width":0,"neve_meta_title_alignment":"","neve_meta_author_avatar":"","neve_post_elements_order":"[\"title\",\"meta\",\"content\",\"post-navigation\",\"comments\"]","neve_meta_disable_header":"on","neve_meta_disable_footer":"","neve_meta_disable_title":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[25],"tags":[26],"class_list":["post-566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-help","tag-26"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=566"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":823,"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/566\/revisions\/823"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/qizhe.org.cn\/home\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}